All outlets

OUT_16741

Bakery · Large · North-Western · distributor DIST_NW_01

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
698.8 L
Recent monthly avg
463.4 L
Own Q90
671.1 L
Active months
30 / 36
Coolers
2
Local competitors (1 km)
2
HHI (1.5 km)
6,375
Replenishment friction
10.0%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +138.9 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~138.9 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · cooler

    Add 3th cooler to outlet

    +0.0 L / mo

    Counterfactual model predicts +0.0 L/month if cooler capacity is increased.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    +258.8
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +68.0
  • monthly_volume_std
    +67.7
  • monthly_volume_median
    +53.5
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +37.0

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -111.1
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -20.9
  • Province_Western
    -6.1
  • Latitude
    -3.9
  • Province_Southern
    -3.5

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler+0.0 L / mo
base 694.3 L → after 694.3 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 694.3 L → after 694.3 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.