All outlets

OUT_16703

Eatery · Large · North-Western · distributor DIST_NW_02

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
698.9 L
Recent monthly avg
449.9 L
Own Q90
720.5 L
Active months
30 / 36
Coolers
2
Local competitors (1 km)
3
HHI (1.5 km)
3,400
Replenishment friction
20.0%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +135.5 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~135.5 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    +260.0
  • monthly_volume_std
    +67.8
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +64.2
  • monthly_volume_median
    +52.5
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +51.6

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -113.1
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -22.8
  • Province_Western
    -6.6
  • Latitude
    -4.3
  • avg_price_per_liter
    -3.5

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 677.5 L → after 677.5 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 677.5 L → after 677.5 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.