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OUT_16441

SMMT · Extra Large · North-Western · distributor DIST_NW_01

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
1,744.1 L
Recent monthly avg
1,301.6 L
Own Q90
1,921.2 L
Active months
33 / 36
Coolers
4
Local competitors (1 km)
2
HHI (1.5 km)
5,511
Replenishment friction
3.0%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +353.3 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~353.3 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    +676.1
  • monthly_volume_mean
    +354.4
  • Cooler_Count
    +164.3
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +138.3
  • monthly_volume_std
    +90.4

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -36.4
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -28.5
  • Province_Western
    -10.0
  • Latitude
    -5.1
  • Province_Southern
    -4.4

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 1,766.4 L → after 1,766.4 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 1,766.4 L → after 1,766.4 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.