All outlets

OUT_16326

Bakery · Large · North-Western · distributor DIST_NW_01

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
701.5 L
Recent monthly avg
412.5 L
Own Q90
714.0 L
Active months
27 / 36
Coolers
4
Local competitors (1 km)
1
HHI (1.5 km)
5,527
Replenishment friction
29.6%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +139.5 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~139.5 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    +186.3
  • Cooler_Count
    +136.9
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +64.8
  • monthly_volume_std
    +50.6
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +43.6

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -120.6
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -24.5
  • Province_Western
    -6.6
  • Latitude
    -4.3
  • Province_Southern
    -3.5

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 697.4 L → after 697.4 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 697.4 L → after 697.4 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.