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OUT_16257

Kiosk · Extra Large · North-Western · distributor DIST_NW_02

Moderate

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
1,356.0 L
Recent monthly avg
26.3 L
Own Q90
89.2 L
Active months
21 / 36
Coolers
5
Local competitors (1 km)
0
HHI (1.5 km)
4,910
Replenishment friction
33.3%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +269.6 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~269.6 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Cooler_Count
    +721.6
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    +460.6
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    +25.7
  • Outlet_Size_Medium
    +8.6
  • super_premium_share
    +5.4

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -57.4
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -34.3
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -20.5
  • Latitude
    -18.5
  • monthly_volume_median
    -16.9

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 1,347.8 L → after 1,347.8 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 1,347.8 L → after 1,347.8 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.