All outlets

OUT_15848

Bakery · Large · North-Western · distributor DIST_NW_02

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
609.9 L
Recent monthly avg
488.6 L
Own Q90
675.7 L
Active months
33 / 36
Coolers
5
Local competitors (1 km)
3
HHI (1.5 km)
7,106
Replenishment friction
9.1%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +129.4 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~129.4 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Cooler_Count
    +283.8
  • monthly_volume_mean
    +77.4
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +64.1
  • monthly_volume_median
    +37.7
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    +23.5

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -116.0
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -24.5
  • Latitude
    -8.3
  • Province_Western
    -6.0
  • competitors_2km
    -3.3

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 646.8 L → after 646.8 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 646.8 L → after 646.8 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.