All outlets

OUT_15753

Grocery · Small · North-Western · distributor DIST_NW_01

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
81.1 L
Recent monthly avg
34.5 L
Own Q90
93.2 L
Active months
22 / 36
Coolers
0
Local competitors (1 km)
3
HHI (1.5 km)
2,716
Replenishment friction
18.2%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +17.0 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~17.0 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • mass_share
    +1.7
  • Outlet_Type_Grocery
    +1.6
  • mid_share
    +1.4
  • spatial_demand_score
    +1.3
  • super_premium_share
    +1.2

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -62.2
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -29.3
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -24.4
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -24.1
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -22.7

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 85.1 L → after 85.1 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 85.1 L → after 85.1 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.