All outlets

OUT_15316

Bakery · Large · North-Western · distributor DIST_NW_02

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
674.1 L
Recent monthly avg
495.5 L
Own Q90
673.2 L
Active months
32 / 36
Coolers
5
Local competitors (1 km)
4
HHI (1.5 km)
7,062
Replenishment friction
3.1%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +138.6 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~138.6 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Cooler_Count
    +283.0
  • monthly_volume_mean
    +80.2
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +64.4
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +48.4
  • monthly_volume_median
    +38.1

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -120.2
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -26.2
  • Province_Western
    -7.3
  • Latitude
    -5.2
  • Province_Southern
    -3.2

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 693.1 L → after 693.1 L
Remove competitive drag+1.2 L / mo
base 693.1 L → after 694.2 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.