All outlets

OUT_15029

SMMT · Small · North-Western · distributor DIST_NW_01

Critical

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
69.7 L
Recent monthly avg
18.1 L
Own Q90
75.6 L
Active months
16 / 36
Coolers
0
Local competitors (1 km)
2
HHI (1.5 km)
2,572
Replenishment friction
6.3%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +14.8 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~14.8 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • super_premium_share
    +1.2
  • monthly_cv
    +1.2
  • spatial_demand_score
    +1.1
  • mass_share
    +1.1
  • Longitude
    +0.9

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -61.4
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -29.6
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -25.5
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -24.8
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -22.6

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 73.9 L → after 73.9 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 73.9 L → after 73.9 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.