All outlets

OUT_14914

Bakery · Large · North-Western · distributor DIST_NW_02

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
773.7 L
Recent monthly avg
453.5 L
Own Q90
865.4 L
Active months
29 / 36
Coolers
3
Local competitors (1 km)
2
HHI (1.5 km)
2,361
Replenishment friction
10.3%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +151.8 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~151.8 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    +194.4
  • Cooler_Count
    +136.3
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +93.1
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +66.3
  • monthly_volume_std
    +52.8

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -118.3
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -22.8
  • Province_Western
    -6.8
  • Latitude
    -4.8
  • Province_Southern
    -3.4

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 758.8 L → after 758.8 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 758.8 L → after 758.8 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.