All outlets

OUT_14885

SMMT · Large · North-Western · distributor DIST_NW_02

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
633.3 L
Recent monthly avg
432.7 L
Own Q90
661.4 L
Active months
29 / 36
Coolers
5
Local competitors (1 km)
4
HHI (1.5 km)
3,242
Replenishment friction
13.8%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +132.0 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~132.0 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · merchandising

    Deploy prime-shelf branded merchandising (posters, shelf-talkers)

    +0.5 L / mo

    Outlet faces type-weighted competition pressure of 5.1 from nearby same-type stores. Targeted in-store branded visibility recovers an estimated 0.5 L/month of intercepted traffic.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Cooler_Count
    +283.1
  • monthly_volume_mean
    +74.4
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +63.4
  • monthly_volume_median
    +37.7
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +21.9

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -119.7
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -24.1
  • Latitude
    -7.7
  • Province_Western
    -4.7
  • avg_price_per_liter
    -3.6

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 659.8 L → after 659.8 L
Remove competitive drag+1.2 L / mo
base 659.8 L → after 661.0 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.