All outlets

OUT_14767

Bakery · Large · North-Western · distributor DIST_NW_01

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
753.1 L
Recent monthly avg
543.9 L
Own Q90
806.7 L
Active months
36 / 36
Coolers
2
Local competitors (1 km)
5
HHI (1.5 km)
2,663
Replenishment friction
0.0%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +144.6 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~144.6 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    +269.2
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +74.6
  • monthly_volume_std
    +64.9
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +64.8
  • monthly_volume_median
    +55.6

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -113.1
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -22.1
  • Province_Western
    -7.9
  • Province_Southern
    -3.3
  • Outlet_Size_Medium
    -2.0

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 723.1 L → after 723.1 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 723.1 L → after 723.1 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.