All outlets

OUT_14583

Grocery · Small · North-Western · distributor DIST_NW_01

High

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
74.3 L
Recent monthly avg
16.5 L
Own Q90
52.1 L
Active months
18 / 36
Coolers
0
Local competitors (1 km)
11
HHI (1.5 km)
2,760
Replenishment friction
16.7%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +14.6 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~14.5 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • spatial_demand_score
    +2.4
  • Outlet_Type_Grocery
    +2.3
  • monthly_cv
    +1.5
  • Outlet_Type_SMMT
    +1.0
  • mass_share
    +0.8

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -62.0
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -29.3
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -25.3
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -24.2
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -21.4

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 72.7 L → after 72.7 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 72.7 L → after 72.7 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.