All outlets

OUT_14551

Grocery · Extra Large · North-Western · distributor DIST_NW_02

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
1,609.3 L
Recent monthly avg
1,129.4 L
Own Q90
1,804.5 L
Active months
30 / 36
Coolers
5
Local competitors (1 km)
6
HHI (1.5 km)
4,174
Replenishment friction
16.7%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +325.2 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~325.2 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    +642.9
  • Cooler_Count
    +308.6
  • monthly_volume_mean
    +243.9
  • monthly_volume_median
    +89.9
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +82.2

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -38.6
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -26.3
  • Province_Western
    -12.0
  • Distributor_ID_DIST_NW_02
    -10.2
  • Latitude
    -6.6

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 1,626.1 L → after 1,626.1 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 1,626.1 L → after 1,626.1 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.