All outlets

OUT_14505

Bakery · Large · North-Western · distributor DIST_NW_01

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
772.4 L
Recent monthly avg
445.3 L
Own Q90
781.9 L
Active months
26 / 36
Coolers
3
Local competitors (1 km)
4
HHI (1.5 km)
3,196
Replenishment friction
11.5%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +153.1 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~153.0 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    +192.9
  • Cooler_Count
    +138.4
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +68.1
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +63.3
  • monthly_volume_std
    +57.4

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -118.6
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -23.4
  • Province_Western
    -7.7
  • Latitude
    -3.7
  • Province_Southern
    -3.5

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 765.2 L → after 765.2 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 765.2 L → after 765.2 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.