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OUT_14372

Eatery · Large · North-Western · distributor DIST_NW_02

High

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
543.8 L
Recent monthly avg
15.6 L
Own Q90
47.4 L
Active months
18 / 36
Coolers
3
Local competitors (1 km)
3
HHI (1.5 km)
3,909
Replenishment friction
16.7%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +106.4 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~106.4 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Cooler_Count
    +297.1
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +78.3
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    +60.9
  • Outlet_Size_Medium
    +2.7
  • monthly_cv
    +1.8

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -51.8
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -51.6
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -24.0
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -17.4
  • monthly_volume_std
    -16.9

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 532.1 L → after 532.1 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 532.1 L → after 532.1 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.