All outlets

OUT_13981

Bakery · Extra Large · North-Western · distributor DIST_NW_01

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
1,711.5 L
Recent monthly avg
1,339.6 L
Own Q90
1,810.0 L
Active months
35 / 36
Coolers
3
Local competitors (1 km)
7
HHI (1.5 km)
2,081
Replenishment friction
0.0%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +343.0 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~343.0 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    +654.1
  • monthly_volume_mean
    +355.9
  • Cooler_Count
    +163.2
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +98.3
  • monthly_volume_median
    +96.3

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -36.3
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -26.4
  • Province_Western
    -9.4
  • Latitude
    -5.1
  • Province_Southern
    -4.5

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 1,715.2 L → after 1,715.2 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 1,715.2 L → after 1,715.2 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.