All outlets

OUT_13851

Bakery · Large · North-Western · distributor DIST_NW_01

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
727.1 L
Recent monthly avg
552.8 L
Own Q90
716.9 L
Active months
35 / 36
Coolers
3
Local competitors (1 km)
5
HHI (1.5 km)
1,799
Replenishment friction
2.9%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +143.1 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~143.1 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    +189.0
  • Cooler_Count
    +138.6
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +63.8
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +56.1
  • monthly_volume_std
    +42.0

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -120.5
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -24.5
  • Province_Western
    -7.3
  • Province_Southern
    -3.4
  • Latitude
    -3.3

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 715.6 L → after 715.6 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 715.6 L → after 715.6 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.