OUT_13803
Bakery · Large · North-Western · distributor DIST_NW_01
Predicted potential
January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.
Geographical Location
Store location on the map.
Recommended actions
Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.
- Rank 1 · festival_promo+128.6 L / mo
Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak
Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~128.6 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.
- Rank 2 · sku_mix+33.1 L / mo
Shift SKU mix toward premium (stock 1-2 additional premium SKUs)
Outlet currently sells 6.0% premium SKUs vs top-performing peers in the same cohort at 14.5%. Closing this gap typically lifts volume by ~33.1 L/month.
Top reasons the score is high
Largest positive SHAP contributors.
- Cooler_Count+325.7
- Outlet_Size_Large+87.9
- Outlet_Size_Small+65.1
- mass_share+17.4
- super_premium_share+5.8
Top reasons the score is held back
Largest negative SHAP contributors.
- monthly_volume_mean-50.3
- Outlet_Size_Extra Large-49.3
- monthly_volume_q95-21.6
- monthly_volume_std-16.7
- climate_jan_humid_pct-15.2
What-if scenarios
Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.
AI explanation
A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.
Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.