All outlets

OUT_13664

Grocery · Large · North-Western · distributor DIST_NW_02

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
645.2 L
Recent monthly avg
454.0 L
Own Q90
648.6 L
Active months
31 / 36
Coolers
2
Local competitors (1 km)
4
HHI (1.5 km)
7,617
Replenishment friction
16.1%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +128.7 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~128.6 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · cooler

    Add 3th cooler to outlet

    +1.3 L / mo

    Counterfactual model predicts +1.3 L/month if cooler capacity is increased.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    +258.0
  • monthly_volume_std
    +75.1
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +73.6
  • monthly_volume_median
    +54.0
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    +29.2

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -102.5
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -22.1
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -19.6
  • Province_Western
    -5.7
  • Latitude
    -5.5

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler+1.3 L / mo
base 643.2 L → after 644.5 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 643.2 L → after 643.2 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.