All outlets

OUT_13415

Hotel · Small · North-Western · distributor DIST_NW_01

Critical

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
70.0 L
Recent monthly avg
16.8 L
Own Q90
67.8 L
Active months
12 / 36
Coolers
0
Local competitors (1 km)
3
HHI (1.5 km)
2,217
Replenishment friction
50.0%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +14.5 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~14.5 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · sku_mix

    Shift SKU mix toward premium (stock 1-2 additional premium SKUs)

    +2.2 L / mo

    Outlet currently sells 6.8% premium SKUs vs top-performing peers in the same cohort at 11.9%. Closing this gap typically lifts volume by ~2.2 L/month.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • mass_share
    +2.0
  • monthly_cv
    +1.2
  • spatial_demand_score
    +0.9
  • mid_share
    +0.8
  • Outlet_Type_SMMT
    +0.7

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -62.3
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -29.3
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -24.9
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -24.8
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -22.5

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 72.5 L → after 72.5 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 72.5 L → after 72.5 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.