All outlets

OUT_13395

Grocery · Large · North-Western · distributor DIST_NW_02

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
715.6 L
Recent monthly avg
496.0 L
Own Q90
688.2 L
Active months
31 / 36
Coolers
2
Local competitors (1 km)
1
HHI (1.5 km)
4,604
Replenishment friction
3.2%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +140.5 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~140.5 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · cooler

    Add 3th cooler to outlet

    +0.0 L / mo

    Counterfactual model predicts +0.0 L/month if cooler capacity is increased.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    +258.2
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +71.0
  • monthly_volume_std
    +69.3
  • monthly_volume_median
    +54.0
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +38.3

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -111.4
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -21.1
  • Province_Western
    -6.4
  • Latitude
    -4.8
  • Province_Southern
    -3.6

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler+0.0 L / mo
base 702.3 L → after 702.4 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 702.3 L → after 702.3 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.