All outlets

OUT_13238

Hotel · Large · North-Western · distributor DIST_NW_01

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
649.6 L
Recent monthly avg
476.6 L
Own Q90
700.0 L
Active months
32 / 36
Coolers
5
Local competitors (1 km)
4
HHI (1.5 km)
3,136
Replenishment friction
9.4%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +133.9 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~133.8 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Cooler_Count
    +281.3
  • monthly_volume_mean
    +78.4
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +61.5
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +39.2
  • monthly_volume_median
    +37.1

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -120.2
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -26.3
  • Latitude
    -6.1
  • Province_Western
    -5.7
  • avg_price_per_liter
    -3.4

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 669.2 L → after 669.2 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 669.2 L → after 669.2 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.