All outlets

OUT_12923

Kiosk · Large · Central · distributor DIST_C_02

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
718.5 L
Recent monthly avg
515.0 L
Own Q90
766.4 L
Active months
33 / 36
Coolers
3
Local competitors (1 km)
7
HHI (1.5 km)
4,435
Replenishment friction
3.0%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +142.4 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~142.4 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    +190.5
  • Cooler_Count
    +137.9
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +63.7
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +54.8
  • monthly_volume_std
    +44.6

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -120.0
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -22.9
  • Province_Western
    -7.7
  • Province_Southern
    -3.4
  • competitors_2km
    -1.9

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 712.2 L → after 712.2 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 712.2 L → after 712.2 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.