All outlets

OUT_12863

Kiosk · Large · Central · distributor DIST_C_03

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
785.3 L
Recent monthly avg
428.9 L
Own Q90
773.8 L
Active months
27 / 36
Coolers
2
Local competitors (1 km)
2
HHI (1.5 km)
3,212
Replenishment friction
18.5%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +151.8 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~151.8 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    +267.3
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +94.5
  • monthly_volume_std
    +79.3
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +69.0
  • monthly_volume_median
    +55.9

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -109.5
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -20.3
  • Province_Western
    -6.7
  • Province_Southern
    -3.2
  • mid_share
    -3.0

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 759.2 L → after 759.2 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 759.2 L → after 759.2 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.