All outlets

OUT_12834

Bakery · Extra Large · Central · distributor DIST_C_03

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
1,637.8 L
Recent monthly avg
1,371.5 L
Own Q90
1,935.4 L
Active months
34 / 36
Coolers
5
Local competitors (1 km)
5
HHI (1.5 km)
3,082
Replenishment friction
5.9%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +333.2 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~333.2 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    +650.7
  • Cooler_Count
    +306.7
  • monthly_volume_mean
    +244.3
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +111.9
  • monthly_volume_median
    +89.0

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -39.1
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -26.2
  • Province_Western
    -10.9
  • Latitude
    -9.1
  • monthly_cv
    -4.8

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 1,665.8 L → after 1,665.8 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 1,665.8 L → after 1,665.8 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.