All outlets

OUT_12769

Grocery · Large · Central · distributor DIST_C_02

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
722.4 L
Recent monthly avg
438.6 L
Own Q90
808.3 L
Active months
29 / 36
Coolers
3
Local competitors (1 km)
2
HHI (1.5 km)
1,752
Replenishment friction
20.7%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +142.9 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~142.9 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    +193.5
  • Cooler_Count
    +135.1
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +61.3
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +60.0
  • monthly_volume_std
    +53.7

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -118.2
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -23.1
  • Province_Western
    -7.1
  • mass_share
    -5.5
  • Province_Southern
    -3.4

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 714.4 L → after 714.4 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 714.4 L → after 714.4 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.