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OUT_12414

Eatery · Large · Central · distributor DIST_C_03

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
770.0 L
Recent monthly avg
553.4 L
Own Q90
844.8 L
Active months
34 / 36
Coolers
2
Local competitors (1 km)
8
HHI (1.5 km)
6,306
Replenishment friction
5.9%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +147.8 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~147.7 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    +269.6
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +85.0
  • monthly_volume_std
    +69.1
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +66.5
  • monthly_volume_median
    +54.4

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -112.4
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -21.0
  • Province_Western
    -7.8
  • Province_Southern
    -3.1
  • climate_jan_temp_c
    -1.9

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 738.7 L → after 738.7 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 738.7 L → after 738.7 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.