All outlets

OUT_12413

Hotel · Medium · Central · distributor DIST_C_02

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
217.3 L
Recent monthly avg
105.8 L
Own Q90
261.2 L
Active months
26 / 36
Coolers
2
Local competitors (1 km)
4
HHI (1.5 km)
3,133
Replenishment friction
26.9%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · cooler

    Add 3th cooler to outlet

    +288.1 L / mo

    Counterfactual model predicts +288.1 L/month if cooler capacity is increased.

  2. Rank 2 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +44.4 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~44.4 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Small
    +35.5
  • Outlet_Size_Medium
    +17.2
  • monthly_volume_std
    +5.8
  • Longitude
    +0.8
  • school_score_norm
    +0.5

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -60.3
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -28.0
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -19.7
  • monthly_volume_median
    -15.8
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -9.5

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler+288.1 L / mo
base 221.8 L → after 510.0 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 221.8 L → after 221.8 L

Cooler deployment business case

Assumes LKR 50,000 unit cost, 12% gross margin, 12% cost of capital.

Monthly uplift
288.1 L
Monthly margin
LKR 9,538
Payback
5.2 mo
24-mo NPV
LKR 153,850

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.