All outlets

OUT_12370

Kiosk · Medium · Central · distributor DIST_C_02

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
218.7 L
Recent monthly avg
118.5 L
Own Q90
226.3 L
Active months
26 / 36
Coolers
2
Local competitors (1 km)
7
HHI (1.5 km)
2,830
Replenishment friction
15.4%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · cooler

    Add 3th cooler to outlet

    +294.8 L / mo

    Counterfactual model predicts +294.8 L/month if cooler capacity is increased.

  2. Rank 2 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +43.9 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~43.9 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Small
    +34.1
  • Outlet_Size_Medium
    +16.3
  • monthly_volume_std
    +3.1
  • Longitude
    +0.6
  • spatial_demand_score
    +0.6

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -60.3
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -28.2
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -19.9
  • monthly_volume_median
    -15.7
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -9.3

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler+294.8 L / mo
base 219.5 L → after 514.3 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 219.5 L → after 219.5 L

Cooler deployment business case

Assumes LKR 50,000 unit cost, 12% gross margin, 12% cost of capital.

Monthly uplift
294.8 L
Monthly margin
LKR 9,159
Payback
5.5 mo
24-mo NPV
LKR 145,759

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.