All outlets

OUT_12284

Kiosk · Small · Central · distributor DIST_C_03

Critical

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
71.6 L
Recent monthly avg
18.6 L
Own Q90
78.3 L
Active months
16 / 36
Coolers
0
Local competitors (1 km)
3
HHI (1.5 km)
6,186
Replenishment friction
31.3%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +15.1 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~15.1 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · sku_mix

    Shift SKU mix toward premium (stock 1-2 additional premium SKUs)

    +2.5 L / mo

    Outlet currently sells 7.6% premium SKUs vs top-performing peers in the same cohort at 13.1%. Closing this gap typically lifts volume by ~2.5 L/month.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • mass_share
    +1.8
  • Outlet_Type_Kiosk
    +1.5
  • monthly_cv
    +1.3
  • mid_share
    +1.2
  • spatial_demand_score
    +0.9

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -62.6
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -29.0
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -24.6
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -23.9
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -22.2

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 75.6 L → after 75.6 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 75.6 L → after 75.6 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.