All outlets

OUT_11853

Bakery · Extra Large · Central · distributor DIST_C_01

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
1,659.0 L
Recent monthly avg
1,263.9 L
Own Q90
1,922.7 L
Active months
31 / 36
Coolers
5
Local competitors (1 km)
4
HHI (1.5 km)
3,540
Replenishment friction
6.5%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +335.9 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~335.9 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    +658.5
  • Cooler_Count
    +309.0
  • monthly_volume_mean
    +247.5
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +110.9
  • monthly_volume_median
    +91.1

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -38.5
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -26.3
  • Province_Western
    -10.5
  • Latitude
    -8.1
  • footfall_score_norm
    -5.1

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 1,679.4 L → after 1,679.4 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 1,679.4 L → after 1,679.4 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.