All outlets

OUT_11845

Bakery · Large · Central · distributor DIST_C_02

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
690.4 L
Recent monthly avg
357.4 L
Own Q90
720.5 L
Active months
23 / 36
Coolers
5
Local competitors (1 km)
3
HHI (1.5 km)
3,641
Replenishment friction
26.1%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +140.6 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~140.6 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Cooler_Count
    +294.4
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +64.3
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +55.1
  • monthly_volume_mean
    +44.2
  • monthly_volume_median
    +39.0

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -113.0
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -23.3
  • Province_Western
    -6.7
  • Province_Southern
    -3.2
  • Latitude
    -2.8

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 702.9 L → after 702.9 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 702.9 L → after 702.9 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.