All outlets

OUT_11821

Grocery · Extra Large · Central · distributor DIST_C_03

High

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
1,340.5 L
Recent monthly avg
20.3 L
Own Q90
72.5 L
Active months
17 / 36
Coolers
5
Local competitors (1 km)
7
HHI (1.5 km)
2,358
Replenishment friction
11.8%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +268.3 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~268.3 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Cooler_Count
    +725.9
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    +461.2
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    +25.3
  • Outlet_Size_Medium
    +8.6
  • mass_share
    +3.1

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -57.1
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -35.5
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -24.2
  • Latitude
    -20.2
  • monthly_volume_median
    -16.5

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 1,341.4 L → after 1,341.4 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 1,341.4 L → after 1,341.4 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.