All outlets

OUT_11580

Kiosk · Large · Central · distributor DIST_C_01

High

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
616.5 L
Recent monthly avg
22.6 L
Own Q90
81.1 L
Active months
17 / 36
Coolers
4
Local competitors (1 km)
1
HHI (1.5 km)
3,229
Replenishment friction
35.3%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · cooler

    Add 5th cooler to outlet

    +315.2 L / mo

    Counterfactual model predicts +315.2 L/month if cooler capacity is increased.

  2. Rank 2 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +126.6 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~126.6 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  3. Rank 3 · sku_mix

    Shift SKU mix toward premium (stock 1-2 additional premium SKUs)

    +21.6 L / mo

    Outlet currently sells 8.9% premium SKUs vs top-performing peers in the same cohort at 14.6%. Closing this gap typically lifts volume by ~21.6 L/month.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Cooler_Count
    +321.2
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +89.7
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    +64.5
  • mass_share
    +12.4
  • super_premium_share
    +5.2

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -50.1
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -49.9
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -21.1
  • monthly_volume_std
    -14.7
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -14.5

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler+315.2 L / mo
base 633.1 L → after 948.3 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 633.1 L → after 633.1 L

Cooler deployment business case

Assumes LKR 50,000 unit cost, 12% gross margin, 12% cost of capital.

Monthly uplift
315.2 L
Monthly margin
LKR 8,309
Payback
6.0 mo
24-mo NPV
LKR 127,587

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.