All outlets

OUT_11507

Bakery · Small · Central · distributor DIST_C_02

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
61.6 L
Recent monthly avg
20.5 L
Own Q90
53.9 L
Active months
22 / 36
Coolers
0
Local competitors (1 km)
7
HHI (1.5 km)
2,004
Replenishment friction
18.2%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +12.7 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~12.7 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Longitude
    +0.9
  • Outlet_Type_SMMT
    +0.8
  • Outlet_Type_Hotel
    +0.6
  • territory_radius_m
    +0.5
  • spatial_demand_score
    +0.3

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -62.6
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -28.7
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -24.6
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -24.2
  • monthly_volume_std
    -23.3

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 63.5 L → after 63.5 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 63.5 L → after 63.5 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.