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OUT_11501

Kiosk · Large · Central · distributor DIST_C_02

Critical

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
506.7 L
Recent monthly avg
8.7 L
Own Q90
30.5 L
Active months
10 / 36
Coolers
3
Local competitors (1 km)
6
HHI (1.5 km)
1,448
Replenishment friction
10.0%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +101.3 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~101.3 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Cooler_Count
    +290.5
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +75.1
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    +55.8
  • Outlet_Size_Medium
    +3.3
  • monthly_cv
    +2.3

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -59.9
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -50.1
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -23.3
  • monthly_volume_std
    -17.7
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -16.1

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 506.3 L → after 506.3 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 506.3 L → after 506.3 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.