All outlets

OUT_11418

Grocery · Small · Central · distributor DIST_C_01

High

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
71.6 L
Recent monthly avg
21.0 L
Own Q90
71.8 L
Active months
17 / 36
Coolers
1
Local competitors (1 km)
9
HHI (1.5 km)
2,091
Replenishment friction
23.5%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +15.6 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~15.5 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · cooler

    Add 2th cooler to outlet

    +1.8 L / mo

    Counterfactual model predicts +1.8 L/month if cooler capacity is increased.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • mid_share
    +2.4
  • mass_share
    +1.9
  • super_premium_share
    +1.2
  • competitors_2km
    +1.0
  • Outlet_Type_SMMT
    +1.0

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -62.1
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -29.1
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -25.7
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -25.5
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -22.9

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler+1.8 L / mo
base 77.7 L → after 79.5 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 77.7 L → after 77.7 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.