All outlets

OUT_11393

Kiosk · Large · Central · distributor DIST_C_02

High

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
525.1 L
Recent monthly avg
17.1 L
Own Q90
47.0 L
Active months
19 / 36
Coolers
4
Local competitors (1 km)
2
HHI (1.5 km)
3,274
Replenishment friction
10.5%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · cooler

    Add 5th cooler to outlet

    +333.6 L / mo

    Counterfactual model predicts +333.6 L/month if cooler capacity is increased.

  2. Rank 2 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +105.2 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~105.2 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Cooler_Count
    +295.7
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +78.6
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    +60.5
  • Outlet_Size_Medium
    +2.6
  • Longitude
    +0.7

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -52.0
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -51.1
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -24.3
  • monthly_volume_std
    -17.0
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -16.4

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler+333.6 L / mo
base 526.2 L → after 859.8 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 526.2 L → after 526.2 L

Cooler deployment business case

Assumes LKR 50,000 unit cost, 12% gross margin, 12% cost of capital.

Monthly uplift
333.6 L
Monthly margin
LKR 13,192
Payback
3.8 mo
24-mo NPV
LKR 231,963

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.