OUT_11363
Bakery · Small · Central · distributor DIST_C_02
Predicted potential
January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.
Geographical Location
Store location on the map.
Recommended actions
Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.
- Rank 1 · festival_promo+14.0 L / mo
Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak
Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~14.0 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.
- Rank 2 · cooler+0.5 L / mo
Place first cooler at outlet
Counterfactual model predicts +0.5 L/month if cooler capacity is increased.
Top reasons the score is high
Largest positive SHAP contributors.
- monthly_cv+2.7
- Outlet_Type_Bakery+1.7
- Longitude+1.2
- Outlet_Type_SMMT+0.8
- spatial_demand_score+0.7
Top reasons the score is held back
Largest negative SHAP contributors.
- monthly_volume_mean-63.1
- Outlet_Size_Extra Large-28.4
- monthly_volume_q95-25.4
- Outlet_Size_Small-24.0
- monthly_volume_std-22.5
What-if scenarios
Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.
AI explanation
A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.
Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.