All outlets

OUT_10412

Bakery · Large · Central · distributor DIST_C_02

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
697.6 L
Recent monthly avg
446.8 L
Own Q90
677.3 L
Active months
31 / 36
Coolers
4
Local competitors (1 km)
6
HHI (1.5 km)
2,715
Replenishment friction
16.1%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +140.6 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~140.6 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    +194.4
  • Cooler_Count
    +135.9
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +68.3
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +61.2
  • monthly_volume_std
    +46.9

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -117.2
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -22.3
  • mass_share
    -8.0
  • avg_price_per_liter
    -6.3
  • Province_Western
    -6.0

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 703.1 L → after 703.1 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 703.1 L → after 703.1 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.