All outlets

OUT_10407

Grocery · Large · Central · distributor DIST_C_03

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
759.5 L
Recent monthly avg
460.7 L
Own Q90
764.8 L
Active months
29 / 36
Coolers
2
Local competitors (1 km)
2
HHI (1.5 km)
6,663
Replenishment friction
6.9%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +145.9 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~145.9 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    +264.7
  • monthly_volume_std
    +76.2
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +68.7
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +67.5
  • monthly_volume_median
    +55.1

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -113.7
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -21.6
  • Province_Western
    -7.6
  • Province_Southern
    -3.3
  • climate_jan_temp_c
    -2.5

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 729.6 L → after 729.6 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 729.6 L → after 729.6 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.