All outlets

OUT_10381

Eatery · Large · Central · distributor DIST_C_02

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
696.2 L
Recent monthly avg
456.5 L
Own Q90
800.7 L
Active months
31 / 36
Coolers
3
Local competitors (1 km)
3
HHI (1.5 km)
2,590
Replenishment friction
9.7%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +137.5 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~137.5 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    +190.2
  • Cooler_Count
    +135.2
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +61.1
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +49.0
  • monthly_volume_std
    +48.8

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -118.7
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -23.9
  • Province_Western
    -7.0
  • mass_share
    -5.3
  • avg_price_per_liter
    -5.1

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 687.5 L → after 687.5 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 687.5 L → after 687.5 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.