All outlets

OUT_10329

Bakery · Large · Central · distributor DIST_C_02

Critical

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
558.3 L
Recent monthly avg
11.3 L
Own Q90
32.7 L
Active months
14 / 36
Coolers
3
Local competitors (1 km)
3
HHI (1.5 km)
2,278
Replenishment friction
7.1%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +109.4 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~109.3 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Cooler_Count
    +295.4
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +82.3
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    +62.1
  • Outlet_Size_Medium
    +3.4
  • monthly_cv
    +2.6

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -52.7
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -47.4
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -24.2
  • monthly_volume_std
    -17.4
  • mass_share
    -15.7

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 546.7 L → after 546.7 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 546.7 L → after 546.7 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.