All outlets

OUT_10240

Grocery · Extra Large · Central · distributor DIST_C_03

High

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
1,315.2 L
Recent monthly avg
18.7 L
Own Q90
71.6 L
Active months
15 / 36
Coolers
5
Local competitors (1 km)
5
HHI (1.5 km)
3,967
Replenishment friction
6.7%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +259.8 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~259.8 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Cooler_Count
    +723.4
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    +444.8
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    +26.0
  • Outlet_Size_Medium
    +8.5
  • population_score_norm
    +0.6

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -57.5
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -35.2
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -25.6
  • monthly_volume_median
    -17.6
  • Latitude
    -16.4

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 1,298.9 L → after 1,298.9 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 1,298.9 L → after 1,298.9 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.