All outlets

OUT_10203

Grocery · Extra Large · Central · distributor DIST_C_02

Critical

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
1,266.5 L
Recent monthly avg
15.8 L
Own Q90
51.2 L
Active months
17 / 36
Coolers
5
Local competitors (1 km)
5
HHI (1.5 km)
2,224
Replenishment friction
5.9%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +254.7 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~254.7 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · sku_mix

    Shift SKU mix toward premium (stock 1-2 additional premium SKUs)

    +47.3 L / mo

    Outlet currently sells 7.7% premium SKUs vs top-performing peers in the same cohort at 13.9%. Closing this gap typically lifts volume by ~47.3 L/month.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Cooler_Count
    +716.3
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    +441.6
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    +25.8
  • Outlet_Size_Medium
    +8.1
  • Outlet_Type_Grocery
    +1.2

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -58.7
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -36.2
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -26.3
  • Latitude
    -17.4
  • monthly_volume_median
    -17.2

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 1,273.4 L → after 1,273.4 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 1,273.4 L → after 1,273.4 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.