All outlets

OUT_10090

SMMT · Large · Central · distributor DIST_C_01

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
651.8 L
Recent monthly avg
509.0 L
Own Q90
696.3 L
Active months
34 / 36
Coolers
4
Local competitors (1 km)
5
HHI (1.5 km)
2,197
Replenishment friction
5.9%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +132.5 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~132.5 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    +184.9
  • Cooler_Count
    +137.5
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +63.9
  • monthly_volume_std
    +41.1
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +36.9

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -121.1
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -24.7
  • Province_Western
    -5.7
  • monthly_cv
    -4.4
  • mass_share
    -4.2

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 662.5 L → after 662.5 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 662.5 L → after 662.5 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.