All outlets

OUT_09758

Hotel · Medium · Central · distributor DIST_C_03

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
232.3 L
Recent monthly avg
109.7 L
Own Q90
242.8 L
Active months
27 / 36
Coolers
2
Local competitors (1 km)
2
HHI (1.5 km)
4,102
Replenishment friction
22.2%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · cooler

    Add 3th cooler to outlet

    +303.8 L / mo

    Counterfactual model predicts +303.8 L/month if cooler capacity is increased.

  2. Rank 2 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +45.9 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~45.9 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  3. Rank 3 · sku_mix

    Shift SKU mix toward premium (stock 1-2 additional premium SKUs)

    +8.3 L / mo

    Outlet currently sells 9.0% premium SKUs vs top-performing peers in the same cohort at 15.0%. Closing this gap typically lifts volume by ~8.3 L/month.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Small
    +35.0
  • Outlet_Size_Medium
    +17.0
  • monthly_volume_std
    +5.1
  • mass_share
    +2.2
  • avg_price_per_liter
    +1.3

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -60.3
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -28.0
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -20.3
  • monthly_volume_median
    -15.7
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -9.5

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler+303.8 L / mo
base 229.3 L → after 533.2 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 229.3 L → after 229.3 L

Cooler deployment business case

Assumes LKR 50,000 unit cost, 12% gross margin, 12% cost of capital.

Monthly uplift
303.8 L
Monthly margin
LKR 8,475
Payback
5.9 mo
24-mo NPV
LKR 131,145

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.