All outlets

OUT_09278

Grocery · Large · Central · distributor DIST_C_03

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
621.5 L
Recent monthly avg
28.3 L
Own Q90
87.6 L
Active months
21 / 36
Coolers
3
Local competitors (1 km)
7
HHI (1.5 km)
2,655
Replenishment friction
38.1%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +123.6 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~123.6 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · sku_mix

    Shift SKU mix toward premium (stock 1-2 additional premium SKUs)

    +22.2 L / mo

    Outlet currently sells 8.4% premium SKUs vs top-performing peers in the same cohort at 14.4%. Closing this gap typically lifts volume by ~22.2 L/month.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Cooler_Count
    +319.2
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +86.1
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    +61.9
  • mass_share
    +10.5
  • Outlet_Size_Medium
    +3.2

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -50.3
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -49.7
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -21.8
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -14.5
  • monthly_volume_median
    -12.8

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 618.0 L → after 618.0 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 618.0 L → after 618.0 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.