All outlets

OUT_09257

Grocery · Extra Large · Central · distributor DIST_C_02

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
1,723.4 L
Recent monthly avg
1,359.3 L
Own Q90
1,956.6 L
Active months
34 / 36
Coolers
4
Local competitors (1 km)
6
HHI (1.5 km)
3,170
Replenishment friction
5.9%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +348.1 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~348.1 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    +666.7
  • monthly_volume_mean
    +356.6
  • Cooler_Count
    +160.4
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +136.5
  • monthly_volume_median
    +92.3

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -37.5
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -27.8
  • Province_Western
    -10.5
  • Latitude
    -6.5
  • monthly_cv
    -4.9

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 1,740.6 L → after 1,740.6 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 1,740.6 L → after 1,740.6 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.